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Share Tweet Send Share. Prev Next. Berkshire Hathaway's net worth jumped by Buffett's second prediction was way off the mark.
Berkshire Hathaway's per-share book value rose by It has also grown by at least Buffett told students at the University of Kansas in May that Sears Chairman Eddie Lampert would struggle to revitalize the department-store chain. He warned that rivals such as Walmart and Costco could undercut Sears, which had just been acquired by Kmart. Buffett was right on the money.
Sears filed for bankruptcy protection in October. However, some hope remains: Lampert recently won court approval to buy the year-old retailer out of bankruptcy and escape liquidation. Despite his best intentions, Buffett can't resist a great deal. In fact, when we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever. Luckily for Buffett, he changed his mind.
Berkshire Hathaway sold nearly all its Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae shares in , slashing its holding to 0. Buffett told the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in that he had become "concerned" about the companies' management.
Both companies have significantly expanded their already huge shares of market during the past ten years, and all signs point to their repeating that performance in the next decade. Buffett's claims have proved sound so far: Both Coke and Gillette remain the biggest players in their markets, though the latter is under mounting pressure.
If Buffett had to pick one forecast to undershoot, he would probably choose this one. Just over 12 years after writing the letter, he's still alive and seems to be in good health. Buffett touted Ariel Hsing, a top-rated junior table-tennis player, as a "good bet to win at the Olympics some day" in his letter to shareholders. Buffett's endorsement was more a marketing campaign for Hsing's presence at Berkshire Hathaway's next annual meeting than an actual prediction.
Hsing competed in the London Olympics, losing in the round of 32 to the eventual gold medalist, Li Xiaoxia of China. He added: "We will again build one million or more residential units annually. I believe pundits will be surprised at how far unemployment drops once that happens. Buffett was right about a recovery in housing and employment. Housing starts in the US were tracking at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of about 1. Unemployment has also fallen from 8.
He posted the above prediction on Long Bets , a website for making long-term wagers and nominating charities to receive the winnings.